Summary
| D& B Country RiskLine reports provide expanded economic, political and commercial analysis essential to minimising the risks associated with foreign trade. Each of the 131 Country Risk Reports provide the following data elements: |
| D&B Country Risk Indicator - a unique and comparative cross-border assessment of country business risk. |
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| Usual Terms - recommended and minimum credit terms and changes in trading regulations. |
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| Transfer Situation - current payment delays, foreign exchange reserves and import cover. |
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| Exchange Rate - graph of exchanges rates covering a six month period and table of local exchange rate against four major currencies. |
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| Import Cover -graph of import cover. |
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| Economic Indicators -key economic indicators covering three years of historical data and a two-year forecast. |
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| Export Credit Agencies - a listing of currently available export credit insurance. |
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| Risk Factor - a concise textual analysis of a country's current political, economic and trading conditions. |
| Minimum Terms The least stringent means of payment deemed necessary by D&B for an exporter to secure payment with a high degree of confidence. |
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| Recommended Terms D&Bs recommended means of payment. The use of recommended terms, which are generally more stringent than minimum terms, is appropriate when a customers payment performance cannot be easily assessed or when an exporter may wish to limit the risk associated with a transaction made on minimum terms. |
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| Usual Terms Normal period of credit associated with transactions with companies in the stated country. |
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| Local Delays The time taken beyond agreed terms for a customer to deposit money in their local bank as payment for imports. |
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| FX/Bank Delays The average time between the placement of payment by the importer in the local banking system and the receipt of funds by the exporter. Such delays may be dependent on foreign exchange controls, foreign exchange availability and the efficiency of the local banking system. |
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| Import Cover The amount of foreign exchange a country has in relation to the average monthly value of imported goods and services. Only liquid foreign exchange reserves from which a country can service its import requirements are included in this calculation. |
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| Exchange Rates How much each unit of a particular currency is worth in relation to another. |
| Dun & Bradstreet's 'DB' risk indicator provides a comparative, cross-border assessment of the risk of doing business in a country. Essentially, the indicator seeks to encapsulate the risk that country-wide factors pose to the predictability of export payments and investment returns over a time horizon of two years. The 'DB' risk indicator comprises a composite index of four over-arching country risk categories: |
| Political risk -Internal and external security situation, policy competency and consistency, and other such factors that determine whether a country fosters an enabling business environment; |
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| Commercial risk -the sanctity of contract, judicial competence, regulatory transparency, degree of systemic corruption, and other such factors that determine whether the business environment facilitates the conduct of commercial transactions; |
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| Macroeconomic risk -the inflation rate, fiscal deficit, money supply growth and all such macroeconomic factors which determine whether a country is able to deliver sustainable economic growth and a commensurate expansion in business opportunities; |
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| External risk -the current account balance, capital flows, foreign exchange reserves, size of external debt and all such factors that determine whether a country can generate enough foreign exchange to meet its trade and foreign investment liabilities. |
| The DB risk indicator is divided into seven bands, ranging from DB1 through DB7. Each band is subdivided into quartiles (a-d), with an a designation representing slightly less risk than a b designation and so on. Only the DB7 indicator is not divided into quartiles. |
| Indicator | Meaning | Explanation | |
| DB1 | Lowest Risk | Lowest degree of uncertainty associated with expected returns, such as export payments, and foreign debt and equity servicing. | |
| DB2 | Low Risk | Low degree of uncertainty associated with expected returns. However, country-wide factors may result in higher volatility of returns at a future date. | |
| DB3 | Slight Risk | Enough uncertainty over expected returns to warrant close monitoring of country risk. Customers should actively manage their risk exposures. | |
| DB4 | Moderate Risk | Significant uncertainty over expected returns. Risk-averse customers are advised to protect against potential losses. | |
| DB5 | High Risk | Considerable uncertainty associated with expected returns. Businesses are advised to limit their exposure and/or select high-return transactions only. | |
| DB6 | Very High Risk | Expected returns subject to large degree of volatility. A very high expected return is required to compensate for the additional risk or the cost of hedging such risk. | |
| DB7 | Highest Risk | Returns are almost impossible to predict with any accuracy. Business infrastructure has, in effect, broken down. |
| The Trend Indicator |
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| The DB risk indicator is supplemented with a trend indicator which is intended to give the reader a quick-reference guide to whether the risk environment in a country is improving or deteriorating | |
| + (plus) The Country's overall risk profile is deteriorating due to adverse political, commercial, economic and/or external developments | |
| - (minus) The Country's overall risk profile is improving due to favourable political, commercial, economic and/or external developments | |
| (Blank) If the no trend indicator is shown, the country's overall risk outlook has not changed appreciably, even though some minor changes to its political, commercial, macroeconomic, and/or external risk environment may have occurred. |
| C/A (Current account) balance, % GDP: -A measure of a countrys net trade, service, and other non-capital flows. |
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| DSR (Debt service ratio), %: -The total of a countrys debt interest and principal payments in relation to its annual export revenues. |
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| Fiscal balance, % GDP: -The public-sector balance expressed as a proportion of total domestic economic output. |
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| GDP growth, %: -The growth in the total goods and services produced within a country, taking account of inflation. |
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| Inflation, %: -The increase in consumer prices reported as an end-year or annual average figure. |
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| Investment, % GDP: -Shows what proportion of total output is directed toward investment. |
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| Manufactures, % GDP: -Measures the importance of industry within an economy. |
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| Non-oil sector, % GDP: -Denotes how dependent an economy is on oil. |
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| Oil (US$ p/b): -Oil price per barrel. |
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| Oil output, 000 bpd (barrels per day): -Average daily output of oil. |
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| Public debt, % GDP: -Expresses the total public-sector debt in relation to the size of the domestic economy. |
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| Trade balance, % GDP: -A measure of a countrys net import and export flows. |
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| Unemployment, %: -The percentage of the registered labour force that is unemployed. |
| ACP | African, Caribbean & Pacific countries (signatories to EU Lomé Convention) | |
| ADP | Asian Development Bank | |
| AFTA | Asian Free Trade Area | |
| APEC | Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum | |
| ASEAN | Association of South East Asian Nations | |
| BIS | Bank for International Settlements | |
| BoP | Balance of payments | |
| bp | Basis point | |
| bpd | Barrels per day | |
| C/A | Current account | |
| CAD | Cash against documents | |
| CAP | Common Agricultural Policy (EU) | |
| CARICOM | Caribbean Community | |
| CEFTA | Central European Free-Trade Area | |
| CiA | Cash in advance | |
| c.i.f. | Carriage, insurance, freight | |
| CIS | Commonwealth of Independent States | |
| C L/C | Confirmed letter of credit (all irrevocable) | |
| COMESA | Common Market of East & Southern Africa | |
| CPI | Consumer price index | |
| CWP | Claims waiting period | |
| DSR | Debt service ratio (as proportion of exports) | |
| EAC | East African Cooperation | |
| EBRD | European Bank for Reconstruction & Development | |
| ECA | Export credit agency | |
| ECGD | Export Credits Guarantee Department (UK) | |
| ECOWAS | Economic Community of West African States | |
| ECU | European Currency Unit | |
| EEA | European Economic Area (EU & EFTA) | |
| EFF | Extended Fund Facility (IMF) | |
| EFTA | European Free-Trade Association | |
| EMS | European Monetary System | |
| EMU | Economic and Monetary Union | |
| EPZ | Export processing zone (for example, maquiladora plants in Latin America) | |
| ERM | Exchange Rate Mechanism (EMS) | |
| ESAF | Extended Structural Adjustment Facility | |
| EU | European Union | |
| Eximbank | Export Import Bank (US) | |
| FDI | Foreign direct investment | |
| f.o.b. | Free on board | |
| FSU | Former Soviet Union | |
| FX | Foreign exchange | |
| FY | Financial year | |
| FYP | Five-year plan | |
| G7 | Group of Seven Industrial Nations (US, UK, Germany, Japan, France, Italy & Canada) | |
| GCC | Gulf Cooperation Council | |
| GDP | Gross Domestic Product | |
| GNP | Gross National Product | |
| govt | Government | |
| GSP | Generalised System of Preferences | |
| H1; H2 | First half; second half | |
| HS | Harmonised Commodity Description & Coding System | |
| IADB | Inter-American Development Bank | |
| ICC | International Chamber of Commerce | |
| IFC | International Finance Corporation | |
| IMF | International Monetary Fund | |
| IPD | Import permit declaration | |
| JV | Joint venture | |
| L/C | Letter of credit (all irrevocable) | |
| LDC | Less developed country | |
| LT | Long-term | |
| Mercosur | Southern Cone Common Market (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay) | |
| MFN | Most favoured nation | |
| MIGA | Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency | |
| MITI | Ministry of International Trade & Industry | |
| m/m | Month-on-month | |
| MT | Medium-term | |
| NAFTA | North American Free-Trade Agreement | |
| NATO | North Atlantic Treaty Organisation | |
| NCM | Nederlandsche Credietverzekering Mij. (Dutch-owned UK export credit agency) | |
| NIC | Newly industrialised countries | |
| OA | Open account | |
| OAU | Organisation of African Unity | |
| OECD | Organisation for Economic Cooperation & Development | |
| OPEC | Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries | |
| OSCE | Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (formerly CSCE) | |
| parl. | Parliament | |
| p/b | Per barrel | |
| PLO | Palestine Liberation Organisation | |
| PM | Prime Minister | |
| PSBR | Public sector borrowing requirement | |
| Q1-Q4 | First quarter to fourth quarter | |
| q/q | Quarter-on-quarter | |
| S&;ampP | Standard &;amp Poor's | |
| SAARC | South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation | |
| SACU | Southern African Customs Union | |
| SADC | Southern African Development & Cooperation | |
| SD | Sight draft | |
| SDR | Special drawing rights (IMF) | |
| SGS | Société Générale de Surveillance | |
| SOE | State-owned enterprise | |
| ST | Short-term | |
| TI | Euler Trade Indemnity | |
| UCP | Uniform Customs & Practice for Documentary Credits (ICC) | |
| UN | United Nations | |
| VAT | Value added tax | |
| VP | Vice President | |
| WB | World Bank | |
| WTO | World Trade Organisation | |
| y/y | Year-on-year |